Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1069.493720 1205.528193 1353.968671 1528.251875 1727.627178 1948.995613 2213.968246
2026-01-18 857.044585 1040.610638 1257.943240 1535.438951 1882.052062 2302.927828 2856.051447
2026-01-25 750.199564 958.483129 1219.353670 1572.569558 2042.132784 2650.189361 3505.761177
2026-02-01 670.257096 891.950160 1182.461261 1595.009743 2172.219028 2960.624960 4135.373590
2026-02-08 605.500079 834.112687 1145.460954 1606.087054 2279.768797 3243.895141 4755.097066
2026-02-15 555.340449 788.777628 1117.767390 1622.669737 2391.217347 3538.757748 5423.002392
2026-02-22 517.779117 756.231895 1102.983435 1653.429277 2522.950228 3873.743330 6191.044746
2026-03-01 468.391489 700.737171 1047.877131 1615.363358 2541.351648 4030.951418 6687.692098
2026-03-08 422.784267 646.352932 988.649798 1563.351797 2529.315699 4133.867382 7100.507561
2026-03-15 383.712053 598.465674 934.794540 1513.669036 2513.976467 4226.438400 7502.310854
2026-03-22 368.866104 587.635314 938.596922 1558.887530 2663.119868 4616.039362 8492.825046
2026-03-29 351.265000 570.620266 930.423117 1582.170423 2775.013850 4950.004328 9421.184679
2026-04-05 332.379330 550.431781 916.036637 1594.670242 2871.572665 5272.231429 10384.707025
2026-04-12 314.309432 530.208054 899.927274 1602.590690 2960.714736 5591.555757 11392.077552
2026-04-19 302.804498 520.346220 900.870852 1641.514944 3112.610728 6050.514160 12763.036226
2026-04-26 289.972441 506.994095 894.233534 1665.044319 3236.031948 6465.673747 14100.676518
2026-05-03 276.566064 491.482933 882.216837 1676.659866 3335.946914 6842.807817 15409.241040
2026-05-10 265.009426 478.453909 873.659365 1694.049026 3449.257863 7261.589743 16882.319583
2026-05-17 256.151169 469.785523 872.596739 1726.306832 3597.456766 7775.164870 18672.055472
2026-05-24 239.544383 445.043762 838.363239 1686.387203 3582.727570 7915.115549 19533.002654
2026-05-31 222.676660 418.639498 798.903139 1631.850340 3529.345461 7957.866570 20144.649326
2026-06-07 207.400984 394.381316 762.044368 1579.763680 3476.277925 7995.127426 20748.068395
2026-06-14 203.380720 392.355505 770.235246 1627.169733 3660.755006 8636.824336 23145.029493